বাজেট-শৃঙ্খলা-এর-অবসান

আমি একজন ex-Coinbase quant analyst,যদিও crypto-এর volatility-এ model-building-এ 10+ years pass.কিন্তু,এইটা? This is political entropy in real time. Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ isn’t a bill; it’s a policy black hole. It combines tax cuts, Medicaid slashes, AI deregulation, gun law loosening, and public land sales—all wrapped in one package that defies both logic and budget rules.

The irony? It’s being sold as fiscal responsibility. But here’s the kicker: Republicans are redefining ‘long-term’ by pretending temporary tax cuts never expire. That’s not accounting—it’s narrative engineering.

The Ritual of Presidential Pressure

You know how they say you don’t negotiate with terrorists? Well, in Congress, you do negotiate with presidents—especially when they’re the only ones who can make your political survival marginally less painful.

I’ve seen this dance before: lawmakers call Trump with concerns. He listens. Then he says he agrees—with their version of reality. But by Tuesday afternoon? He’ll pivot to another faction saying theirs is better.

This isn’t leadership—it’s theatrical ambiguity used to extract compliance. And guess what? It works.

A Tax Cut Paradox: How to Spend More While Looking Like You Spend Less

Let me explain this using code—because that’s how I think.

// Hypothetical Budget Assumption (Before 2017)
if (tax_cut_duration == "temporary") {
    revenue_forecast += expected_revenue_recovery;
}
// Post-2017 Reinterpretation (Now)
if (tax_cut_duration == "permanent") {
    revenue_forecast -= 0; // No recovery assumed!
}

The trick is simple: if you declare a temporary policy permanent in your model, then extending it doesn’t count as new spending.

It’s like claiming you’ve always planned to rent a limo—even though last week you were driving a Honda Civic.

Yet somehow, this gets passed as ‘responsible fiscal management.’ Welcome to Washington economics.

Why No One Likes It… But Everyone Votes For It?

Here’s what happens when ideology collides with pragmatism:

• Medicaid cuts = popular among fiscal hawks… but voters hate when grandma loses coverage.
• Tax extensions = required for GOP survival post-2017—but also mean higher deficits.
• AI deregulation = feels futuristic… until you realize it could lead to algorithmic bias at scale.

No one wants this bill—except those afraid of losing power in November. And let me tell you: fear is an excellent motivator for passing legislation no one believes in.

The Real Cost Isn’t on the Ledger—It’s in Trust

We’re not just talking about dollars here—we’re talking about institutional credibility. When lawmakers use gimmicks to bypass rules meant to constrain power… we’re not debating policy anymore—we’re debating whether democracy still has guardrails. The fact that this bill survives because of presidential pressure, not public support or logical consistency… that tells us more than any dataset ever could.